most overrated running backs of all time

Jim Brown 2. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. . If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. Marcus Allen 15. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Overall: 98 and 96. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Barry Sanders 3. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. Never a good idea. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. . D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. Ricky Watters 20. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. Thurman Thomas 14. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. He yields passing work to J.D. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football The current regime did not select Robinson. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. 54 touchdowns. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. 2022/07/02 . Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. Edgerrin James 17. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. . I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. No thanks. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. McKissic. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. Downing, USA Today Sports. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. Think about that for a moment. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Eric Dickerson 8. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. During the next few weeks, we here at NFL.com will unveil our Most Underrated and Overrated Players of All Time for all 32 teams and allow users to determine their choices as well.. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup His career YPC was 3.9. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Preseason may help a little. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. Victoria Geary: Sanders has talent and breakaway ability, but he may not garner a large enough workload to be worth his ADP this season. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. 24 Overrated RBs. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB12. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. Single Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. He was used more as a receiver than anything. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. only site on the planet. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. His value is trending in the wrong direction. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. 3) Micah Richards. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Single This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. . And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. The Top Ten. 5 / 30. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Jacobs could easily wind up as a player who does a lot of work between the 20s with no meaningful fantasy production. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks.

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